Scenario analysis of ecosystem service changes and interactions in a mountain-oasis-desert system: a case study in Altay Prefecture, China

doi:10.1038/s41598-018-31043-y

	Scenario analysis of ecosystem service changes and interactions in a mountain-oasis-desert system: a case study in Altay Prefecture, China
	Fu, Qi 1; Hou, Ying 2; Wang, Bo 3; Bi, Xu ; Li, Bo 1; Zhang, Xinshi 4
	2018
发表期刊	SCIENTIFIC REPORTS
ISSN	2045-2322
卷号	8
摘要	Scenario analysis of ecosystem services (ES) can provide a scientific basis for ecosystem management. The objective of this study was to reveal the effects of future land use scenarios on ES in a mountain-oasis-desert system (MODS). We first simulated land use changes for the period of 2015-2035 in Altay Prefecture under three different scenarios: business as usual (BAU), economic development (ED), and ecological conservation (EC). We then evaluated water yield (WY), crop production (CP), soil conservation (SC), sand fixation (SF), carbon sequestration (CS), and aesthetic value (AV) and investigated the multiple interactions among ES at the regional and grid scales. The results showed that SC, CS, and AV continually increased, WY continually decreased under the three scenarios. Our study revealed that the multiple interactions among ES were spatially heterogeneous in the MODS and the spatial heterogeneities changed across scenarios. The locations of and causes for the formation of the multiple interactions among ES were identified based on spatial analysis. This information can help decision-makers develop targeted and differentiated ecosystem management strategies. This study can increase the understanding of the multiple interactions among ES. Our findings can provide a reference for studies of other regions with the MODS structure.
学科领域	Multidisciplinary Sciences
DOI	10.1038/s41598-018-31043-y
收录类别	SCI
语种	英语
WOS关键词	LAND-USE CHANGE ; TRADE-OFFS ; CLUE-S ; MANAGEMENT-PRACTICES ; LOESS PLATEAU ; LANDSCAPE ; SYNERGIES ; LINKING ; MODEL ; SIMULATION
WOS记录号	WOS:000442917500011
出版者	NATURE PUBLISHING GROUP
文献子类	Article
出版地	LONDON
资助机构	National Science and Technology Support Plan of China [2014BAC15B04] ; Key Laboratory of Watershed Geographic Sciences, Nanjing Institute of Geography and Limnology, Chinese Academy of Sciences [WSGS2017007] ; China Postdoctoral Science FoundationChina Postdoctoral Science Foundation [2017M610059]
作者邮箱	libo@bnu.edu.cn
作品OA属性	Green Published, gold
引用统计	被引频次：50[WOS] [WOS记录] [WOS相关记录]
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://ir.ibcas.ac.cn/handle/2S10CLM1/20322
专题	植被与环境变化国家重点实验室
作者单位	1.Beijing Normal Univ, Fac Geog Sci, Coll Resources Sci & Technol, Beijing 100875, Peoples R China 2.Chinese Acad Sci, Nanjing Inst Geog & Limnol, Key Lab Watershed Geog Sci, Nanjing 210008, Peoples R China 3.Chinese Acad Sci, Res Ctr Ecoenvironm Sci, State Key Lab Urban & Reg Ecol, Beijing 100085, Peoples R China 4.Chinese Acad Environm Planning, Inst Ecol & Rural Environm Planning, Beijing 100012, Peoples R China 5.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Bot, Beijing 100093, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Fu, Qi,Hou, Ying,Wang, Bo,et al. Scenario analysis of ecosystem service changes and interactions in a mountain-oasis-desert system: a case study in Altay Prefecture, China[J]. SCIENTIFIC REPORTS,2018,8.
APA	Fu, Qi,Hou, Ying,Wang, Bo,Bi, Xu,Li, Bo,&Zhang, Xinshi.(2018).Scenario analysis of ecosystem service changes and interactions in a mountain-oasis-desert system: a case study in Altay Prefecture, China.SCIENTIFIC REPORTS,8.
MLA	Fu, Qi,et al."Scenario analysis of ecosystem service changes and interactions in a mountain-oasis-desert system: a case study in Altay Prefecture, China".SCIENTIFIC REPORTS 8(2018).

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