Knowledge Management System Of Institute Of Botany,CAS
East Asian warm season temperature variations over the past two millennia | |
Zhang, Huan; Werner, Johannes P.; Garcia-Bustamante, Elena; Gonzalez-Rouco, Fidel; Wagner, Sebastian5; Zorita, Eduardo5; Fraedrich, Klaus; Jungclaus, Johann H.; Ljungqvist, Fredrik Charpentier7,8; Zhu, Xiuhua9; Xoplaki, Elena; Chen, Fahu10; Duan, Jianping11; Ge, Quansheng12; Hao, Zhixin12; Ivanov, Martin; Schneider, Lea; Talento, Stefanie13; Wang, Jianglin13; Yang, Bao; Luterbacher, Juerg14 | |
2018 | |
发表期刊 | SCIENTIFIC REPORTS |
ISSN | 2045-2322 |
卷号 | 8 |
摘要 | East Asia has experienced strong warming since the 1960s accompanied by an increased frequency of heat waves and shrinking glaciers over the Tibetan Plateau and the Tien Shan. Here, we place the recent warmth in a long-term perspective by presenting a new spatially resolved warm-season (May-September) temperature reconstruction for the period 1-2000 CE using 59 multiproxy records from a wide range of East Asian regions. Our Bayesian Hierarchical Model (BHM) based reconstructions generally agree with earlier shorter regional temperature reconstructions but are more stable due to additional temperature sensitive proxies. We find a rather warm period during the first two centuries CE, followed by a multi-century long cooling period and again a warm interval covering the 900-1200 CE period (Medieval Climate Anomaly, MCA). The interval from 1450 to 1850 CE (Little Ice Age, LIA) was characterized by cooler conditions and the last 150 years are characterized by a continuous warming until recent times. Our results also suggest that the 1990s were likely the warmest decade in at least 1200 years. The comparison between an ensemble of climate model simulations and our summer reconstructions since 850 CE shows good agreement and an important role of internal variability and external forcing on multi-decadal time-scales. |
学科领域 | Multidisciplinary Sciences |
DOI | 10.1038/s41598-018-26038-8 |
收录类别 | SCI |
语种 | 英语 |
WOS关键词 | RECONSTRUCTING CLIMATE ANOMALIES ; TREE-RING WIDTH ; SPATIOTEMPORAL VARIABILITY ; FORCING RECONSTRUCTIONS ; NORTHERN-HEMISPHERE ; SUMMER TEMPERATURES ; BAYESIAN ALGORITHM ; PMIP SIMULATIONS ; TIBETAN PLATEAU ; CHINA |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000432275800001 |
出版者 | NATURE PUBLISHING GROUP |
文献子类 | Article |
出版地 | LONDON |
资助机构 | German Science FoundationGerman Research Foundation (DFG) ; ILModelS [CGL2014-59644-R] ; European CommissionEuropean CommissionEuropean Commission Joint Research Centre |
作者邮箱 | huan.zhang@geogr.uni-giessen.de |
作品OA属性 | Green Published, gold |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://ir.ibcas.ac.cn/handle/2S10CLM1/20375 |
专题 | 植被与环境变化国家重点实验室 |
作者单位 | 1.Justus Liebig Univ Giessen, Dept Geog Climatol Climate Dynam & Climate Change, Giessen, Germany 2.Werner, Johannes P.] Univ Bergen, Dept Earth Sci, Allegt 41, NO-5020 Bergen, Norway 3.Werner, Johannes P.] Bjerknes Ctr Climate Res, Allegt 41, NO-5020 Bergen, Norway 4.Res Ctr Energy Environm & Technol CIEMAT, Dept Energy Renewable Energy Sect, Madrid, Spain 5.Univ Complutense Madrid, CSIC, IGEO, Dept Phys Earth & Astrophys, Madrid, Spain 6.Helmholtz Zentrum Geesthacht, Inst Coastal Res, D-21502 Geesthacht, Germany 7.Fraedrich, Klaus; Jungclaus, Johann H.] Max Planck Inst Meteorol, Bundesstr 53, D-20146 Hamburg, Germany 8.Stockholm Univ, Dept Hist, Stockholm, Sweden 9.Stockholm Univ, Bolin Ctr Climate Res, Stockholm, Sweden 10.Univ Hamburg, CliSAP, Ctr Earth Syst Res & Sustainabil, Hamburg, Germany 11.Lanzhou Univ, MOE Key Lab Western Chinas Environm Syst, Lanzhou 730000, Gansu, Peoples R China 12.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Bot, State Key Lab Vegetat & Environm Change, Beijing 100093, Peoples R China 13.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, 11A,Datun Rd, Beijing, Peoples R China 14.Chinese Acad Sci, Northwest Inst Ecoenvironm & Resources, Key Lab Desert & Desertificat, Lanzhou, Gansu, Peoples R China 15.Justus Liebig Univ Giessen, Ctr Int Dev & Environm Res, Giessen, Germany |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Zhang, Huan,Werner, Johannes P.,Garcia-Bustamante, Elena,et al. East Asian warm season temperature variations over the past two millennia[J]. SCIENTIFIC REPORTS,2018,8. |
APA | Zhang, Huan.,Werner, Johannes P..,Garcia-Bustamante, Elena.,Gonzalez-Rouco, Fidel.,Wagner, Sebastian.,...&Luterbacher, Juerg.(2018).East Asian warm season temperature variations over the past two millennia.SCIENTIFIC REPORTS,8. |
MLA | Zhang, Huan,et al."East Asian warm season temperature variations over the past two millennia".SCIENTIFIC REPORTS 8(2018). |
条目包含的文件 | ||||||
文件名称/大小 | 文献类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
Zhang-2018-East Asia(2722KB) | 期刊论文 | 出版稿 | 开放获取 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 请求全文 |
除非特别说明,本系统中所有内容都受版权保护,并保留所有权利。
修改评论