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Vegetation carbon sequestration in Chinese forests from 2010 to 2050
He, Nianpeng1; Wen, Ding; Zhu, Jianxing1; Tang, Xuli2; Xu, Li1; Zhang, Li; Hu, Huifeng3; Huang, Mei; Yu, Guirui
2017
发表期刊GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY
ISSN1354-1013
卷号23期号:4页码:1575-1584
摘要Forests store a large part of the terrestrial vegetation carbon (C) and have high C sequestration potential. Here, we developed a new forest C sequestration (FCS) model based on the secondary succession theory, to estimate vegetation C sequestration capacity in China's forest vegetation. The model used the field measurement data of 3161 forest plots and three future climate scenarios. The results showed that logistic equations provided a good fit for vegetation biomass with forest age in natural and planted forests. The FCS model has been verified with forest biomass data, and model uncertainty is discussed. The increment of vegetation C storage in China's forest vegetation from 2010 to 2050 was estimated as 13.92 Pg C, while the average vegetation C sequestration rate was 0.34 Pg C yr(-1) with a 95% confidence interval of 0.28-0.42 Pg C yr (-1), which differed significantly between forest types. The largest contributor to the increment was deciduous broadleaf forest (37.8%), while the smallest was deciduous needleleaf forest (2.7%). The vegetation C sequestration rate might reach its maximum around 2020, although vegetation C storage increases continually. It is estimated that vegetation C sequestration might offset 6-8% of China's future emissions. Furthermore, there was a significant negative relationship between vegetation C sequestration rate and C emission rate in different provinces of China, suggesting that developed provinces might need to compensate for undeveloped provinces through C trade. Our findings will provide valuable guidelines to policymakers for designing afforestation strategies and forest C trade in China.
关键词carbon sequestration rate climate forest forest C sequestration model logistic storage
学科领域Environmental Sciences & Ecology
DOI10.1016/j.envpol.2017.08.014
收录类别SCI
语种英语
WOS关键词OLD-GROWTH FORESTS ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; TERRESTRIAL ECOSYSTEMS ; NET PRIMARY ; BIOMASS ; STORAGE ; TEMPERATURE ; DYNAMICS ; STOCKS ; PRECIPITATION
WOS记录号WOS:000414881000018
出版者WILEY
文献子类Article
出版地HOBOKEN
EISSN1365-2486
资助机构National Key Research Project of China [2016YFC0500202] ; National Natural Science Foundation of ChinaNational Natural Science Foundation of China (NSFC) [41571130043, 31290221, 31470506, 31570471] ; Chinese Academy of Sciences Strategic Priority Research Program [XDA05050702] ; Program for Kezhen Distinguished Talents in Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research [2013RC102] ; Youth Innovation Promotion Association CAS
作者邮箱henp@igsnrr.ac.cn ; yugr@igsnrr.ac.cn
引用统计
被引频次:84[WOS]   [WOS记录]     [WOS相关记录]
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://ir.ibcas.ac.cn/handle/2S10CLM1/22039
专题植被与环境变化国家重点实验室
作者单位1.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Key Lab Ecosyst Network Observat & Modeling, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China
2.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China
3.Chinese Acad Sci, Key Lab Vegetat Restorat & Management Degraded Ec, South China Bot Garden, Guangzhou 510650, Guangdong, Peoples R China
4.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Bot, State Key Lab Vegetat & Environm Change, Beijing 100093, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
He, Nianpeng,Wen, Ding,Zhu, Jianxing,et al. Vegetation carbon sequestration in Chinese forests from 2010 to 2050[J]. GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY,2017,23(4):1575-1584.
APA He, Nianpeng.,Wen, Ding.,Zhu, Jianxing.,Tang, Xuli.,Xu, Li.,...&Yu, Guirui.(2017).Vegetation carbon sequestration in Chinese forests from 2010 to 2050.GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY,23(4),1575-1584.
MLA He, Nianpeng,et al."Vegetation carbon sequestration in Chinese forests from 2010 to 2050".GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY 23.4(2017):1575-1584.
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