IB-CAS  > 植被与环境变化国家重点实验室
Climate change challenges the current conservation strategy for the giant panda
Shen, Guozhen; Pimm, Stuart L.; Feng, Chaoyang2; Ren, Guofang3; Liu, Yanping4; Xu, Wenting; Li, Junqing4; Si, Xingfeng5; Xie, Zongqiang
2015
发表期刊BIOLOGICAL CONSERVATION
ISSN0006-3207
卷号190页码:43-50
摘要The global total of protected areas to conserve biodiversity is increasing steadily, while numerous studies show that they are broadly effective. That said, how will current conservation strategies work, given the current and expected changes to the global climate? The giant panda is a conservation icon and exceptional efforts protect its remaining habitats. It provides a unique case study to address this question. There are many studies on the projected loss of habitats as climate warms, but few consider the geographical arrangement of future habitats, current protected area, and species' dispersal abilities. Most alarmingly, we expect much greater habitat fragmentation after climate change. Here, we combine long-term data on giant pandas with climate-change scenarios to predict future habitat loss and distribution in the Min Shan of Sichuan and Gansu, China. We employ metapopulation capacity as a mechanistic measure of a species' response to habitat fragmentation. The results show that climate changes will lead to 16.3 +/- 1.4 (%) losses of giant panda habitats. Alarmingly, 11.4% of the remaining habitat fragments would be smaller than the extinction threshold area as the extent of fragmentation increases nearly fourfold. The projected fragmentation of giant panda habitats predicts 9% lower effectiveness inside the protected area network compared with that outside of reserves. A 35% reduction will occur in future effectiveness of reserve networks. The results challenge the long-term effectiveness of protected areas in protecting the species' persistence. They indicate a need for integrating both natural processes and dynamic threats over a simple reliance on individual static natural reserves. (C) 2015 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
关键词Climate change Static conservation Metapopulation capacity Fragmentation Giant pandas Protected areas
学科领域Biodiversity Conservation ; Ecology ; Environmental Sciences
DOI10.1016/j.biocon.2015.05.004
收录类别SCI
语种英语
WOS关键词PROTECTED AREAS ; SPECIES DISTRIBUTIONS ; QINLING MOUNTAINS ; TIBETAN PLATEAU ; EXTINCTION RISK ; CHINA ; RANGE ; HABITAT ; IMPACTS ; EVOLUTIONARY
WOS研究方向Science Citation Index Expanded (SCI-EXPANDED)
WOS记录号WOS:000358972200006
出版者ELSEVIER SCI LTD
文献子类Article
出版地OXFORD
EISSN1873-2917
资助机构Natural Science Foundation of China [31170500] ; Special Research Program for Public-welfare Environmental Protection Projects [2013467039]
作者邮箱snj@ibcas.ac.cn ; stuartpimm@ine.com ; fengchy@gmail.com ; gf_ren@sohu.com ; lyp74819430@163.com ; xuwt@ibcas.ac.cn ; lijq@bjfu.edu.cn ; xingfengsi@gmail.com ; xie@ibcas.ac.cn
作品OA属性Green Submitted
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被引频次:55[WOS]   [WOS记录]     [WOS相关记录]
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://ir.ibcas.ac.cn/handle/2S10CLM1/25806
专题植被与环境变化国家重点实验室
作者单位1.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Bot, State Key Lab Vegetat & Environm Change, Beijing 100093, Peoples R China
2.Pimm, Stuart L.] Duke Univ, Nicholas Sch Environm & Earth Sci, Durham, NC 27708 USA
3.Chinese Res Inst Environm Sci, Chinese State Environm Protect Key Lab Reg Ecopro, Beijing 100012, Peoples R China
4.Being Univ Posts & Telecommun, Century Coll, Beijing 102613, Peoples R China
5.Beijing Forestry Univ, Key Lab Silviculture & Conservat, Minist Educ, Beijing 100083, Peoples R China
6.Zhejiang Univ, Coll Life Sci, Key Lab Conservat Biol Endangered Wildlife, Minist Educ, Hangzhou 310003, Zhejiang, Peoples R China
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Shen, Guozhen,Pimm, Stuart L.,Feng, Chaoyang,et al. Climate change challenges the current conservation strategy for the giant panda[J]. BIOLOGICAL CONSERVATION,2015,190:43-50.
APA Shen, Guozhen.,Pimm, Stuart L..,Feng, Chaoyang.,Ren, Guofang.,Liu, Yanping.,...&Xie, Zongqiang.(2015).Climate change challenges the current conservation strategy for the giant panda.BIOLOGICAL CONSERVATION,190,43-50.
MLA Shen, Guozhen,et al."Climate change challenges the current conservation strategy for the giant panda".BIOLOGICAL CONSERVATION 190(2015):43-50.
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