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| Climate change challenges the current conservation strategy for the giant panda | |
Shen, Guozhen; Pimm, Stuart L.; Feng, Chaoyang2; Ren, Guofang3; Liu, Yanping4; Xu, Wenting; Li, Junqing4; Si, Xingfeng5; Xie, Zongqiang
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| 2015 | |
| Source Publication | BIOLOGICAL CONSERVATION
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| ISSN | 0006-3207 |
| Volume | 190Pages:43-50 |
| Abstract | The global total of protected areas to conserve biodiversity is increasing steadily, while numerous studies show that they are broadly effective. That said, how will current conservation strategies work, given the current and expected changes to the global climate? The giant panda is a conservation icon and exceptional efforts protect its remaining habitats. It provides a unique case study to address this question. There are many studies on the projected loss of habitats as climate warms, but few consider the geographical arrangement of future habitats, current protected area, and species' dispersal abilities. Most alarmingly, we expect much greater habitat fragmentation after climate change. Here, we combine long-term data on giant pandas with climate-change scenarios to predict future habitat loss and distribution in the Min Shan of Sichuan and Gansu, China. We employ metapopulation capacity as a mechanistic measure of a species' response to habitat fragmentation. The results show that climate changes will lead to 16.3 +/- 1.4 (%) losses of giant panda habitats. Alarmingly, 11.4% of the remaining habitat fragments would be smaller than the extinction threshold area as the extent of fragmentation increases nearly fourfold. The projected fragmentation of giant panda habitats predicts 9% lower effectiveness inside the protected area network compared with that outside of reserves. A 35% reduction will occur in future effectiveness of reserve networks. The results challenge the long-term effectiveness of protected areas in protecting the species' persistence. They indicate a need for integrating both natural processes and dynamic threats over a simple reliance on individual static natural reserves. (C) 2015 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. |
| Keyword | Climate change Static conservation Metapopulation capacity Fragmentation Giant pandas Protected areas |
| Subject Area | Biodiversity Conservation ; Ecology ; Environmental Sciences |
| DOI | 10.1016/j.biocon.2015.05.004 |
| Indexed By | SCI |
| Language | 英语 |
| WOS Keyword | PROTECTED AREAS ; SPECIES DISTRIBUTIONS ; QINLING MOUNTAINS ; TIBETAN PLATEAU ; EXTINCTION RISK ; CHINA ; RANGE ; HABITAT ; IMPACTS ; EVOLUTIONARY |
| WOS Research Area | Science Citation Index Expanded (SCI-EXPANDED) |
| WOS ID | WOS:000358972200006 |
| Publisher | ELSEVIER SCI LTD |
| Subtype | Article |
| Publication Place | OXFORD |
| EISSN | 1873-2917 |
| Funding Organization | Natural Science Foundation of China [31170500] ; Special Research Program for Public-welfare Environmental Protection Projects [2013467039] |
| Corresponding Author Email | snj@ibcas.ac.cn ; stuartpimm@ine.com ; fengchy@gmail.com ; gf_ren@sohu.com ; lyp74819430@163.com ; xuwt@ibcas.ac.cn ; lijq@bjfu.edu.cn ; xingfengsi@gmail.com ; xie@ibcas.ac.cn |
| OA | Green Submitted |
| Citation statistics | |
| Document Type | 期刊论文 |
| Identifier | http://ir.ibcas.ac.cn/handle/2S10CLM1/25806 |
| Collection | 植被与环境变化国家重点实验室 |
| Affiliation | 1.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Bot, State Key Lab Vegetat & Environm Change, Beijing 100093, Peoples R China 2.Pimm, Stuart L.] Duke Univ, Nicholas Sch Environm & Earth Sci, Durham, NC 27708 USA 3.Chinese Res Inst Environm Sci, Chinese State Environm Protect Key Lab Reg Ecopro, Beijing 100012, Peoples R China 4.Being Univ Posts & Telecommun, Century Coll, Beijing 102613, Peoples R China 5.Beijing Forestry Univ, Key Lab Silviculture & Conservat, Minist Educ, Beijing 100083, Peoples R China 6.Zhejiang Univ, Coll Life Sci, Key Lab Conservat Biol Endangered Wildlife, Minist Educ, Hangzhou 310003, Zhejiang, Peoples R China |
| Recommended Citation GB/T 7714 | Shen, Guozhen,Pimm, Stuart L.,Feng, Chaoyang,et al. Climate change challenges the current conservation strategy for the giant panda[J]. BIOLOGICAL CONSERVATION,2015,190:43-50. |
| APA | Shen, Guozhen.,Pimm, Stuart L..,Feng, Chaoyang.,Ren, Guofang.,Liu, Yanping.,...&Xie, Zongqiang.(2015).Climate change challenges the current conservation strategy for the giant panda.BIOLOGICAL CONSERVATION,190,43-50. |
| MLA | Shen, Guozhen,et al."Climate change challenges the current conservation strategy for the giant panda".BIOLOGICAL CONSERVATION 190(2015):43-50. |
| Files in This Item: | ||||||
| File Name/Size | DocType | Version | Access | License | ||
| Climate_change_chall（1624KB） | 期刊论文 | 出版稿 | 开放获取 | CC BY-NC-SA | View Application Full Text | |
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