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A comprehensive benchmarking system for evaluating global vegetation models | |
Kelley, D. I.; Prentice, I. C.; Harrison, S. P.; Wang, H.; Simard, M.; Fisher, J. B.; Willis, K. O. | |
2013 | |
发表期刊 | BIOGEOSCIENCES |
ISSN | 1726-4170 |
卷号 | 10期号:5页码:3313-3340 |
摘要 | We present a benchmark system for global vegetation models. This system provides a quantitative evaluation of multiple simulated vegetation properties, including primary production; seasonal net ecosystem production; vegetation cover; composition and height; fire regime; and runoff. The benchmarks are derived from remotely sensed gridded datasets and site-based observations. The datasets allow comparisons of annual average conditions and seasonal and inter-annual variability, and they allow the impact of spatial and temporal biases in means and variability to be assessed separately. Specifically designed metrics quantify model performance for each process, and are compared to scores based on the temporal or spatial mean value of the observations and a random model produced by bootstrap resampling of the observations. The benchmark system is applied to three models: a simple light-use efficiency and waterbalance model (the Simple Diagnostic Biosphere Model: SDBM), the Lund-Potsdam-Jena (LPJ) and Land Processes and eXchanges (LPX) dynamic global vegetation models (DGVMs). In general, the SDBM performs better than either of the DGVMs. It reproduces independent measurements of net primary production (NPP) but underestimates the amplitude of the observed CO2 seasonal cycle. The two DGVMs show little difference for most benchmarks (including the inter-annual variability in the growth rate and seasonal cycle of atmospheric CO2), but LPX represents burnt fraction demonstrably more accurately. Benchmarking also identified several weaknesses common to both DGVMs. The benchmarking system provides a quantitative approach for evaluating how adequately processes are represented in a model, identifying errors and biases, tracking improvements in performance through model development, and discriminating among models. Adoption of such a system would do much to improve confidence in terrestrial model predictions of climate change impacts and feedbacks. |
学科领域 | Ecology ; Geosciences, Multidisciplinary |
DOI | 10.5194/bg-10-3313-2013 |
收录类别 | SCI |
语种 | 英语 |
WOS关键词 | TERRESTRIAL CARBON-CYCLE ; FRESH-WATER DISCHARGE ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; LAND-SURFACE ; PLANT GEOGRAPHY ; SEASONAL CYCLE ; FIRE EMISSIONS ; LARGE ENSEMBLE ; BURNED AREA ; CO2 |
WOS研究方向 | Science Citation Index Expanded (SCI-EXPANDED) |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000319838200031 |
出版者 | COPERNICUS GESELLSCHAFT MBH |
文献子类 | Article |
出版地 | GOTTINGEN |
EISSN | 1726-4189 |
资助机构 | Macquarie University International Research Scholarship (iMQRES) |
作者邮箱 | Simard, Marc/H-3516-2013 ; Kelley, Douglas/Z-3090-2019 |
作品OA属性 | Green Submitted, gold, Green Accepted |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://ir.ibcas.ac.cn/handle/2S10CLM1/28037 |
专题 | 植被与环境变化国家重点实验室 |
作者单位 | 1.[Kelley, D. I. 2.Prentice, I. C. 3.Harrison, S. P. 4.Wang, H. 5.Willis, K. O.] Macquarie Univ, Dept Biol Sci, N Ryde, NSW 2109, Australia 6.[Prentice, I. C.] Univ London Imperial Coll Sci Technol & Med, Grantham Inst Climate Change, Ascot SL5 7PY, Berks, England 7.[Prentice, I. C.] Univ London Imperial Coll Sci Technol & Med, Dept Life Sci, Ascot SL5 7PY, Berks, England 8.[Harrison, S. P.] Univ Reading, Sch Human & Environm Sci, Reading RG6 6AB, Berks, England 9.[Wang, H.] Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Bot, State Key Lab Vegetat & Environm Change, Beijing 100093, Peoples R China 10.[Simard, M. 11.Fisher, J. B.] CALTECH, Jet Prop Lab, Pasadena, CA 91109 USA |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Kelley, D. I.,Prentice, I. C.,Harrison, S. P.,et al. A comprehensive benchmarking system for evaluating global vegetation models[J]. BIOGEOSCIENCES,2013,10(5):3313-3340. |
APA | Kelley, D. I..,Prentice, I. C..,Harrison, S. P..,Wang, H..,Simard, M..,...&Willis, K. O..(2013).A comprehensive benchmarking system for evaluating global vegetation models.BIOGEOSCIENCES,10(5),3313-3340. |
MLA | Kelley, D. I.,et al."A comprehensive benchmarking system for evaluating global vegetation models".BIOGEOSCIENCES 10.5(2013):3313-3340. |
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