Dynamics of decadal changes in the distribution of double-cropping rice cultivation in China

doi:10.1007/s11434-012-5608-y

	Dynamics of decadal changes in the distribution of double-cropping rice cultivation in China
	Duan JuQi 1; Zhou GuangSheng 2
	2013
发表期刊	CHINESE SCIENCE BULLETIN
ISSN	1001-6538
卷号	58 期号:16 页码:1955-1963
摘要	Quantitative description of changes in the distribution of paddy rice cultivation in response to recent climate change provides a reference for rice cultivation patterns and formulation of countermeasures to cope With future climate change in China. This study analyzes the dynamics of decadal changes in distribution of double-cropping rice in China during 1961-2010 in relation to climate change based on the maximum entropy method. Decadal changes in the double-cropping rice cultivation area and climatic suitability in China were apparent. The total area of climatically suitable regions was highest in the 1960s, and subsequently showed an increasing trend at first and then a decreasing trend from the 1970s to 2000s. However, the low climatic suitability area decreased, which implied that the moderate and high climatic suitability areas increased. Among the latter, the high climatic suitability area showed the highest increase in extent to 4.4 times that of the 1990s and four times that of the 1960s. The areas of double-cropping rice cultivation most sensitive to climate change are mainly located in central Jiangsu, central Anhui, the eastern Sichuan Basin, southern Henan and central Guizhou. Transformation of areas between low and moderate climatic suitability was observed in northern Zhejiang, southern Anhui and Hubei, and northern Guangxi. Transformation of areas between moderate and high climatic suitability was observed in central Jiangxi and Leizhou Peninsula. The northern boundary of double-cropping rice cultivation in China shifted southwards and contracted eastwards in the 1970s, and extended northwards in the 1980s. However, the northern boundary did not shift northwards in response to climate warming in the 2000s.
关键词	double-cropping rice cultivation distribution decadal dynamics
学科领域	Multidisciplinary Sciences
DOI	10.1007/s11434-012-5608-y
收录类别	SCI
语种	英语
WOS关键词	CLIMATE-CHANGE ; SHIFT
WOS研究方向	Science Citation Index Expanded (SCI-EXPANDED)
WOS记录号	WOS:000319850700017
出版者	SCIENCE PRESS
文献子类	Article
出版地	BEIJING
EISSN	1861-9541
资助机构	State Key Development Program of Basic Research ; Special Fund for Agroscientific Research in the Public Interest ; Basic Operation Cost of China Meteorological Administration (CMA)
作品OA属性	Bronze
引用统计	被引频次：21[WOS] [WOS记录] [WOS相关记录]
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://ir.ibcas.ac.cn/handle/2S10CLM1/28103
专题	植被与环境变化国家重点实验室
作者单位	1.Chinese Acad Meteorol Sci, Beijing 100081, Peoples R China 2.Nanjing Univ Informat Sci & Technol, Sch Atmospher Phys, Nanjing 210044, Jiangsu, Peoples R China 3.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Bot, State Key Lab Vegetat & Environm Change, Beijing 100093, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Duan JuQi,Zhou GuangSheng. Dynamics of decadal changes in the distribution of double-cropping rice cultivation in China[J]. CHINESE SCIENCE BULLETIN,2013,58(16):1955-1963.
APA	Duan JuQi,&Zhou GuangSheng.(2013).Dynamics of decadal changes in the distribution of double-cropping rice cultivation in China.CHINESE SCIENCE BULLETIN,58(16),1955-1963.
MLA	Duan JuQi,et al."Dynamics of decadal changes in the distribution of double-cropping rice cultivation in China".CHINESE SCIENCE BULLETIN 58.16(2013):1955-1963.

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